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in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008, with seven points for the democrats? my preference is to look in between. but what the poll has been doing in particular is looking more at what it was in 2008, which political pollsters will tell you, it will not be at that point. it needs to be somewhere near where the republicans were in 2008. host: the annual crystal ball contest from "the washington post." jim cramer, predicting that mitt romney will get 98 electoral votes, the president, 440? he is the only one predicting a landslide for the president. guest: he is the only one predicting that. i am a democratic partisan, i would love to see that, but i do not think it will be close to that. host: only two are predicting that mitt romney will win, the other 11 sayin
at 9:15, the impact of new leadership in china on u.s. relations. president obama traveling in parts of asia. we will have those segments, plus, we will take a look at the papers and take your phone calls as well "washington journal ."shington, we will see you then. [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] >> next, a discussion on the future of u.s. diplomacy. after that, a forum on the effectiveness of al-qaeda in yemen. >> a former state department officials from the obama and george w. bush administration's discuss public diplomacy in a tough budget in vermont. the discuss the effectiveness of student exchange programs and government-backed broadcasting outlets, like "voice of america." the george washington school of international affairs hosted this event tuesday. this is an hour and 45 minutes. >> that is public diplomacy in action. [laughter] i'm a professor here at gw and the director of the institute for public policy and global communication. you can find us on twitter @ip dgc. we're also on fa
of limited government. is there something they could do to the kind of blind restraint we got in the obama care decision? >> yes. this is something i bring up regularly in my short almost two years in the senate we of course have yet to process any supreme court nominees but we process with some regular arty lower court judges. and it doesn't matter whether they are district judges or circuit judges i make a practice of asking them what their views are on the enumerated powers doctrine and i will ask them to identify even if it requires some degree of speculation what if anything false outside of congress's power under the commerce clause and i make it more difficult for them by telling them that they can't identify lopez or more son and now i'll add to that n.f.i.b. as the basis of their theory. you find it interesting to see some of the responses. a lot of them look at me if i've insulted their mother or something like that. a lot of them look at me if i've asked them to derive pie to the 800th decimal from memory but it's an important question. i also think it's interesting to watch wha
you look at barack obama's first meeting with angela merkel were the global economy was on fire, she laid down the gauntlet. we're not going to play by your rules. we're not want to spend like you're telling us to and it has been very interesting to look at the limits we have even influencing a nation like a german name. in brussels, do you think america has the same way we once had and can influence the international system box i would love to see how you see the challenges ahead but the milly a geostrategic context. >> first, a strong economy is as cruel as a strong military. in this post-financial crisis era, economics and finance are every bit as important those traditional diplomatic and military lepers of policy. the throw weight was the measure of how much could be delivered through nuclear arms. sovereign interest rates are the measure of strength and invulnerability now. this move from a throw rates to interest rates. they knew how much megatonnage we had and it'll merkel can tell you what the spread is in the most recent greek bonds auctioned. requires a change in thinking
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